Page 275 - Demo

273During the Washington DC Demonstration Project in the summer of 1993, time-series analysis was also used to model actual crime levels with the Transcendental Meditation (TM) and TM-Sidhi program Super-Radiance group, versus predicted crime levels without the group. When the group was largest, homicides, rapes, and assaults (HRA crimes) had dropped more than 23.3% (p < .000000002 or 2 x 10-9) below the level predicted without the Super-Radiance group, one chance in one billion that the effect was due to chance.A second fi nding of the Washington, DC Demonstration Project compared predicted crime rates with and without the Super-Radiance group. Analysis of 41 previous studies had predicted reduced crime when the group reached a particular size. In this project, overall crime, including robberies, decreased more than 15.6% (p = .0008). The experiment was monitored by a 27-member independent project review board. Extensive additional time-series analysis could not identify any other explanations to account for this drop in crime, including temperature, precipitation, changes in police surveillance, weekend effects, or trends in the data.Calculation of the steady state gain based on the time series model predicted that a permanent group of 4,000 coherence-creating experts in the District would have a long-term effect of reducing HRA crimes by 48%.National Demonstration Project in Washington, DC #2Crime ReductionActual CrimeDemonstration Period Time Series Prediction withCoherence-Creating GroupTime Series Prediction withoutCoherence-Creating Group Homicides, Rapes, and Assaults per week27525022520017515012510002/20/93 03/06/93 03/20/93 04/03/93 04/17/93 05/01/93 05/15/93 05/29/93 06/12/93 07/10/93 07/24/93 08/07/93 08/21/93 09/04/93 09/18/93 10/02/93 10/16/93 10/30/93 11/13/93 11/27/93 12/11/93 12/25/93p < .000000002tm-080SAFER, HAPPIER COMMUNITIESReference: Hagelin, J. S., Rainforth, M. V., Orme-Johnson, D. W., Cavanaugh, K. L., Alexander, C. N., Shatkin, S. F., et al. (1999). Effects of group practice of the Transcendental Meditation program on preventing violent crime in Washington, DC: Results of the National Demonstration Project, June%u2013July, 1993. Social Indicators Research, 47(2), 153%u2013201.